Photo from https://kdjblog.com/
Thanks to Kevin Devaney Jr’s website https://kdjblog.com/ I’ve been able to take the Section 1 score file on his site and produce computer generated team rankings and score projections like I’ve done with Section 2 teams.
The score projections below are based on the latest computer rankings for each team. They are not my opinion they are based on each team’s season information versus Section 1 opponents. The numbers are generated based on each team’s final score and opponent to create their overall ranking and strength of schedule.
Score projections for semi final round games
| 3/3/2018 | HALDANE | 54 | LEFFELL SCHOOL | 31 | 22.17 | 81.24% | |
| 3/3/2018 | TUCKAHOE | 43 | KEIO ACADEMY | 31 | 12.47 | 69.10% | |
| 3/3/2018 | PUTNAM VALLEY | 58 | HASTINGS | 43 | 15.28 | 72.94% | |
| 3/3/2018 | IRVINGTON | 54 | BRIARCLIFF | 52 | 1.99 | 53.17% | |
| 3/5/2018 | PEARL RIVER | 46 | HEN HUD | 45 | 0.67 | 51.07% | |
| 3/5/2018 | RYE | 56 | HARRISON | 49 | 7.46 | 61.73% | |
| 3/5/2018 | LOURDES | 51 | ARLINGTON | 49 | 1.77 | 52.82% | |
| 3/5/2018 | URSULINE | 64 | ALBERTUS MAGNUS | 53 | 10.94 | 66.92% |
Score projections for quarter final round games
| 2/24/2020 | BRIARCLIFF | 61 | EDGEMONT | 41 | 19.95 | 78.76% | |
| 2/24/2020 | IRVINGTON | 58 | WOODLANDS | 33 | 25.59 | 84.70% | |
| 2/24/2020 | HASTINGS | 54 | PLEASANTVILLE | 51 | 3.42 | 55.44% | |
| 2/24/2020 | PUTNAM VALLEY | 55 | DOBBS FERRY | 37 | 18.18 | 76.65% |
| 2/25/2020 | PEARL RIVER | 53 | TAPPAN ZEE | 52 | 0.74 | 51.18% | |
| 2/25/2020 | RYE | 55 | SOMERS | 47 | 7.83 | 62.29% | |
| 2/25/2020 | HARRISON | 53 | BYRAM HILLS | 51 | 2.25 | 53.59% | |
| 2/25/2020 | HEN HUD | 48 | PANAS | 45 | 3.70 | 55.89% |
| 2/28/2020 | LOURDES | 69 | OSSINING | 62 | 6.89 | 60.86% | |
| 2/28/2020 | URSULINE | 69 | FOX LANE | 28 | 41.21 | 95.04% | |
| 2/28/2020 | ARLINGTON | 58 | JOHN JAY-EF | 39 | 18.41 | 76.93% | |
| 2/28/2020 | ALBERTUS MAGNUS | 61 | MAHOPAC | 52 | 9.69 | 65.08% |
Score projections for round of 16 games
Data through 2/15/20 games.
| GIRLS’ | |||||||
| Date | Projected Winning Team | Score | Projected Losing Team | Score | Result | Margin | Win PCT Probability |
| 2/20/2020 | BRIARCLIFF | 62 | WESTLAKE | 39 | 23.21 | 82.34% | |
| 2/20/2020 | EDGEMONT | 40 | BRONXVILLE | 40 | 0.24 | 50.38% | |
| 2/20/2020 | CROTON-HARMON | 60 | DOBBS FERRY | 49 | 10.34 | 66.04% | |
| 2/20/2020 | HASTINGS | 59 | ARDSLEY | 44 | 15.06 | 72.65% | |
| 2/20/2020 | IRVINGTON | 62 | RYE NECK | 25 | 36.79 | 92.94% | |
| 2/20/2020 | PLEASANTVILLE | 49 | NORTH SALEM | 37 | 11.33 | 67.48% | |
| 2/20/2020 | PUTNAM VALLEY | 55 | VALHALLA | 24 | 30.93 | 89.20% | |
| 2/20/2020 | BLIND BROOK | 52 | WOODLANDS | 50 | 1.41 | 52.25% | |
| 2/21/2020 | BYRAM HILLS | 59 | JOHN JAY-CR | 49 | 10.46 | 66.22% | |
| 2/21/2020 | HARRISON | 54 | BEACON | 31 | 22.86 | 81.97% | |
| 2/21/2020 | HEN HUD | 50 | YORKTOWN | 38 | 12.22 | 68.74% | |
| 2/21/2020 | PANAS | 56 | CLARKSTOWN SOUTH | 51 | 5.33 | 58.44% | |
| 2/21/2020 | PEARL RIVER | 51 | PELHAM | 38 | 12.77 | 69.53% | |
| 2/21/2020 | RYE | 71 | SLEEPY HOLLOW | 42 | 28.47 | 87.26% | |
| 2/21/2020 | SOMERS | 62 | YONKERS | 32 | 29.27 | 87.92% | |
| 2/21/2020 | TAPPAN ZEE | 58 | BREWSTER | 45 | 12.17 | 68.68% | |
| 2/22/2020 | ALBERTUS MAGNUS | 69 | SCARSDALE | 42 | 26.91 | 85.91% | |
| 2/22/2020 | ARLINGTON | 74 | CLARKSTOWN NORTH | 33 | 41.06 | 94.97% | |
| 2/22/2020 | LOURDES | 67 | SUFFERN | 25 | 41.78 | 95.27% | |
| 2/22/2020 | MAHOPAC | 64 | KETCHAM | 47 | 17.20 | 75.43% | |
| 2/22/2020 | NEW ROCHELLE | 58 | JOHN JAY-EF | 58 | 0.14 | 50.22% | |
| 2/22/2020 | OSSINING | 74 | FOX LANE | 48 | 25.41 | 84.53% | |
| 2/22/2020 | URSULINE | 80 | CARMEL | 30 | 49.66 | 97.65% | |
| 2/22/2020 | WHITE PLAINS | 55 | NORTH ROCKLAND | 50 | 5.62 | 58.89% | |
| 3/3/2020 | TUCKAHOE | 43 | KEIO ACADEMY | 31 | 12.47 | 69.10% | |
| 3/3/2020 | HALDANE | 54 | LEFFELL SCHOOL | 31 | 22.17 | 81.24% |
Key
| >= 25% chance to win= Favorite |
| >= 10% & < 25% chance to win= Contender |
| >= 5% & < 10% chance to win= Dark Horse |
| < 5% chance to win= Long Shot |
Class AA Breakdown before round of 16 starts
| Class AA Girls | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| 1 URSULINE | 97.65% | 86.00% | 63.25% | 42.86% | Favorite |
| 3 LOURDES | 95.27% | 62.49% | 38.26% | 17.71% | Contender |
| 2 ARLINGTON | 94.97% | 73.12% | 37.20% | 15.79% | Contender |
| 4 ALBERTUS MAGNUS | 85.91% | 59.46% | 23.00% | 11.64% | Contender |
| 6 OSSINING | 84.53% | 35.02% | 17.78% | 6.41% | Dark Horse |
| 5 MAHOPAC | 75.43% | 31.44% | 8.48% | 3.13% | Long Shot |
| 8 WHITE PLAINS | 58.89% | 9.01% | 3.05% | 0.83% | Long Shot |
| 7 NEW ROCHELLE | 50.22% | 13.08% | 3.19% | 0.61% | Long Shot |
| 10 JOHN JAY-EF | 49.78% | 12.88% | 3.12% | 0.59% | Long Shot |
| 9 NORTH ROCKLAND | 41.11% | 4.49% | 1.19% | 0.24% | Long Shot |
| 12 KETCHAM | 24.57% | 4.89% | 0.54% | 0.09% | Long Shot |
| 13 SCARSDALE | 14.09% | 4.20% | 0.45% | 0.07% | Long Shot |
| 11 FOX LANE | 15.47% | 1.91% | 0.33% | 0.03% | Long Shot |
| 17 CARMEL | 2.35% | 0.50% | 0.05% | 0.00% | Long Shot |
| 14 SUFFERN | 4.73% | 0.59% | 0.06% | 0.00% | Long Shot |
| 15 CLARKSTOWN NORTH | 5.03% | 0.92% | 0.05% | 0.00% | Long Shot |
Class A Breakdown before round of 16 starts
| Class A Girls | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| 1 RYE | 87.26% | 56.28% | 36.80% | 22.82% | Contender |
| 2 HEN HUD | 68.74% | 41.39% | 23.54% | 12.25% | Contender |
| 6 PEARL RIVER | 69.53% | 40.53% | 22.52% | 11.41% | Contender |
| 8 SOMERS | 87.92% | 39.24% | 21.68% | 11.18% | Contender |
| 4 HARRISON | 81.97% | 47.62% | 21.42% | 10.94% | Contender |
| 3 TAPPAN ZEE | 68.68% | 36.73% | 19.49% | 9.39% | Dark Horse |
| 5 BYRAM HILLS | 66.22% | 35.24% | 14.94% | 7.24% | Dark Horse |
| 7 PANAS | 58.44% | 28.76% | 14.44% | 6.55% | Dark Horse |
| 10 CLARKSTOWN SOUTH | 41.56% | 17.04% | 7.15% | 2.66% | Long Shot |
| 15 YORKTOWN | 31.26% | 12.82% | 4.87% | 1.63% | Long Shot |
| 11 PELHAM | 30.47% | 11.78% | 4.22% | 1.33% | Long Shot |
| 12 JOHN JAY-CR | 33.78% | 12.74% | 3.51% | 1.14% | Long Shot |
| 14 BREWSTER | 31.32% | 10.95% | 3.77% | 1.13% | Long Shot |
| 16 SLEEPY HOLLOW | 12.74% | 3.11% | 0.74% | 0.15% | Long Shot |
| 20 BEACON | 18.03% | 4.40% | 0.69% | 0.13% | Long Shot |
| 9 YONKERS | 12.08% | 1.38% | 0.22% | 0.03% | Long Shot |
Class B Breakdown before round of 16 starts
| Class B Girls | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| 2 PUTNAM VALLEY | 89.20% | 62.57% | 46.59% | 30.69% | Favorite |
| 4 IRVINGTON | 92.94% | 80.47% | 52.12% | 26.87% | Favorite |
| 1 BRIARCLIFF | 82.34% | 67.16% | 35.45% | 16.60% | Contender |
| 3 HASTINGS | 72.65% | 46.06% | 18.23% | 8.77% | Dark Horse |
| 7 CROTON-HARMON | 66.04% | 26.02% | 15.78% | 8.06% | Dark Horse |
| 6 PLEASANTVILLE | 67.48% | 32.64% | 10.56% | 4.28% | Long Shot |
| 10 DOBBS FERRY | 33.96% | 8.75% | 3.91% | 1.40% | Long Shot |
| 14 ARDSLEY | 27.35% | 11.01% | 2.22% | 0.60% | Long Shot |
| 9 EDGEMONT | 50.38% | 12.27% | 2.85% | 0.51% | Long Shot |
| 11 NORTH SALEM | 32.52% | 10.29% | 1.93% | 0.49% | Long Shot |
| 8 BRONXVILLE | 49.62% | 11.95% | 2.74% | 0.48% | Long Shot |
| 12 BLIND BROOK | 52.25% | 9.21% | 2.50% | 0.41% | Long Shot |
| 16 WESTLAKE | 17.66% | 8.62% | 1.92% | 0.33% | Long Shot |
| 5 WOODLANDS | 47.75% | 7.80% | 1.99% | 0.30% | Long Shot |
| 15 VALHALLA | 10.80% | 2.66% | 0.78% | 0.17% | Long Shot |
| 13 RYE NECK | 7.06% | 2.52% | 0.42% | 0.04% | Long Shot |
Class C Breakdown before round of 4 starts
| Class C Girls | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| 2 HALDANE | 100.00% | 100.00% | 81.24% | 53.42% | Favorite |
| 1 TUCKAHOE | 100.00% | 100.00% | 69.10% | 31.73% | Favorite |
| 4 KEIO ACADEMY | 100.00% | 100.00% | 30.90% | 8.78% | Dark Horse |
| 3 LEFFELL SCHOOL | 100.00% | 100.00% | 18.76% | 6.07% | Dark Horse |