Photo from https://kdjblog.com/
Thanks to Kevin Devaney Jr’s website https://kdjblog.com/ I’ve been able to take the Section 1 score file on his site and produce computer generated team rankings and score projections like I’ve done with Section 2 teams.
The score projections below are based on the latest computer rankings for each team. They are not my opinion they are based on each team’s season information versus Section 1 opponents. The numbers are generated based on each team’s final score and opponent to create their overall ranking and strength of schedule.
Score projections for semi final games.
| 3/2/2020 | HAMILTON | 83 | LEFFELL SCHOOL | 38 | 45.68 | 96.62% | |
| 3/2/2020 | HALDANE | 61 | TUCKAHOE | 53 | 7.11 | 61.20% | |
| 3/4/2020 | HASTINGS | 56 | WESTLAKE | 38 | 18.45 | 76.98% | |
| 3/4/2020 | VALHALLA | 66 | DOBBS FERRY | 59 | 6.90 | 60.87% | |
| 3/4/2020 | RYE | 57 | PEARL RIVER | 48 | 9.08 | 64.17% | |
| 3/4/2020 | TAPPAN ZEE | 60 | POUGHKEEPSIE | 55 | 5.51 | 58.72% | |
| 3/6/2020 | SUFFERN | 49 | MOUNT VERNON | 48 | 1.19 | 51.90% | |
| 3/6/2020 | HORACE GREELEY | 55 | NEW ROCHELLE | 55 | 0.20 | 50.31% |
Score projections for quarter final games.
| 2/24/2020 | HASTINGS | 58 | BRONXVILLE | 44 | 14.02 | 71.25% | |
| 2/24/2020 | WESTLAKE | 47 | PLEASANTVILLE | 47 | 0.33 | 50.53% | |
| 2/24/2020 | DOBBS FERRY | 55 | NORTH SALEM | 46 | 9.16 | 64.30% | |
| 2/24/2020 | VALHALLA | 61 | BRIARCLIFF | 50 | 11.06 | 67.09% |
| 2/26/2020 | RYE | 63 | ALBERTUS MAGNUS | 53 | 9.80 | 65.24% | |
| 2/26/2020 | BYRAM HILLS | 60 | PEARL RIVER | 46 | 14.30 | 71.64% | |
| 2/26/2020 | TAPPAN ZEE | 61 | HARRISON | 47 | 13.86 | 71.03% | |
| 2/26/2020 | POUGHKEEPSIE | 69 | LAKELAND | 62 | 7.09 | 61.17% |
| 2/28/2020 | MOUNT VERNON | 66 | WHITE PLAINS | 65 | 0.06 | 50.09% | |
| 2/28/2020 | HORACE GREELEY | 63 | KETCHAM | 42 | 20.94 | 79.89% | |
| 2/28/2020 | NEW ROCHELLE | 51 | NORTH ROCKLAND | 45 | 6.48 | 60.22% | |
| 2/28/2020 | SUFFERN | 58 | SPRING VALLEY | 45 | 12.91 | 69.72% |
Score projections for round of 16 games
Data through 2/15/20 games.
| BOYS’ | |||||||
| Date | Projected Winning Team | Score | Projected Losing Team | Score | Result | Margin | Win PCT Probability |
| 2/20/2020 | HASTINGS | 69 | WOODLANDS | 40 | 28.73 | 87.48% | |
| 2/20/2020 | CROTON-HARMON | 52 | BRONXVILLE | 52 | 0.45 | 50.71% | |
| 2/20/2020 | PALISADE PREP | 56 | PLEASANTVILLE | 55 | 1.63 | 52.60% | |
| 2/20/2020 | IRVINGTON | 52 | WESTLAKE | 51 | 1.17 | 51.87% | |
| 2/20/2020 | DOBBS FERRY | 58 | RYE NECK | 37 | 21.46 | 80.46% | |
| 2/20/2020 | ARDSLEY | 55 | NORTH SALEM | 52 | 2.76 | 54.39% | |
| 2/20/2020 | VALHALLA | 77 | PAWLING | 41 | 35.73 | 92.35% | |
| 2/20/2020 | BRIARCLIFF | 45 | BLIND BROOK | 36 | 9.12 | 64.23% | |
| 2/21/2020 | TAPPAN ZEE | 62 | YORKTOWN | 44 | 18.88 | 77.49% | |
| 2/21/2020 | HARRISON | 57 | PANAS | 53 | 4.92 | 57.81% | |
| 2/21/2020 | POUGHKEEPSIE | 68 | BEACON | 53 | 14.99 | 72.56% | |
| 2/21/2020 | LAKELAND | 62 | CLARKSTOWN SOUTH | 55 | 6.73 | 60.61% | |
| 2/21/2020 | RYE | 65 | NYACK | 44 | 20.47 | 79.36% | |
| 2/21/2020 | ALBERTUS MAGNUS | 66 | JOHN JAY-CR | 54 | 11.97 | 68.40% | |
| 2/21/2020 | BYRAM HILLS | 69 | PEEKSKILL | 50 | 18.95 | 77.58% | |
| 2/21/2020 | PEARL RIVER | 53 | LOURDES | 53 | 0.02 | 50.03% | |
| 2/22/2020 | SUFFERN | 51 | SCARSDALE | 29 | 22.01 | 81.06% | |
| 2/22/2020 | ARLINGTON | 63 | SPRING VALLEY | 61 | 1.62 | 52.58% | |
| 2/22/2020 | MOUNT VERNON | 68 | MAHOPAC | 38 | 29.86 | 88.38% | |
| 2/22/2020 | WHITE PLAINS | 75 | RAMAPO | 53 | 21.73 | 80.77% | |
| 2/22/2020 | NEW ROCHELLE | 60 | CLARKSTOWN NORTH | 37 | 22.62 | 81.72% | |
| 2/22/2020 | NORTH ROCKLAND | 48 | FOX LANE | 39 | 9.04 | 64.12% | |
| 2/22/2020 | HORACE GREELEY | 72 | OSSINING | 51 | 21.36 | 80.36% | |
| 2/22/2020 | MAMARONECK | 51 | KETCHAM | 41 | 9.32 | 64.54% | |
| 3/2/2020 | HAMILTON | 83 | LEFFELL SCHOOL | 38 | 45.68 | 96.62% | |
| 3/2/2020 | HALDANE | 61 | TUCKAHOE | 53 | 8.11 | 62.72% |
Key
| >= 25% chance to win= Favorite |
| >= 10% & < 25% chance to win= Contender |
| >= 5% & < 10% chance to win= Dark Horse |
| < 5% chance to win= Long Shot |
Class AA Breakdown before round of 16 starts
| Class AA Boys | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| 2 HORACE GREELEY | 80.36% | 60.02% | 35.91% | 19.69% | Contender |
| 1 SUFFERN | 81.06% | 58.74% | 31.83% | 18.15% | Contender |
| 4 MOUNT VERNON | 88.38% | 52.15% | 30.93% | 17.46% | Contender |
| 3 NEW ROCHELLE | 81.72% | 53.82% | 31.27% | 16.50% | Contender |
| 5 WHITE PLAINS | 80.77% | 41.47% | 23.32% | 12.42% | Contender |
| 6 NORTH ROCKLAND | 64.12% | 28.90% | 13.71% | 5.72% | Dark Horse |
| 7 MAMARONECK | 64.54% | 23.10% | 9.05% | 3.09% | Long Shot |
| 8 ARLINGTON | 52.58% | 18.38% | 6.03% | 2.15% | Long Shot |
| 9 SPRING VALLEY | 47.42% | 15.52% | 4.75% | 1.58% | Long Shot |
| 11 FOX LANE | 35.88% | 11.54% | 3.96% | 1.14% | Long Shot |
| 15 OSSINING | 19.64% | 8.44% | 2.39% | 0.57% | Long Shot |
| 10 KETCHAM | 35.46% | 8.43% | 2.22% | 0.49% | Long Shot |
| 16 SCARSDALE | 18.94% | 7.36% | 1.67% | 0.42% | Long Shot |
| 14 CLARKSTOWN NORTH | 18.28% | 5.75% | 1.49% | 0.31% | Long Shot |
| 12 RAMAPO | 19.23% | 4.23% | 1.07% | 0.24% | Long Shot |
| 13 MAHOPAC | 11.62% | 2.15% | 0.40% | 0.06% | Long Shot |
Class A Breakdown before round of 16 starts
| Class A Boys | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| 2 BYRAM HILLS | 77.58% | 56.62% | 35.92% | 23.15% | Contender |
| 1 TAPPAN ZEE | 77.49% | 56.20% | 36.76% | 20.23% | Contender |
| 3 RYE | 79.36% | 55.08% | 30.78% | 18.45% | Contender |
| 4 POUGHKEEPSIE | 72.56% | 47.75% | 25.58% | 12.33% | Contender |
| 6 ALBERTUS MAGNUS | 68.40% | 28.82% | 12.09% | 5.54% | Dark Horse |
| 5 LAKELAND | 60.61% | 26.97% | 11.35% | 4.17% | Long Shot |
| 8 HARRISON | 57.81% | 21.26% | 9.73% | 3.46% | Long Shot |
| 7 PEARL RIVER | 50.03% | 16.75% | 6.78% | 2.80% | Long Shot |
| 10 LOURDES | 49.97% | 16.72% | 6.76% | 2.79% | Long Shot |
| 9 PANAS | 42.19% | 12.66% | 4.85% | 1.40% | Long Shot |
| 15 PEEKSKILL | 22.42% | 9.91% | 3.49% | 1.25% | Long Shot |
| 12 CLARKSTOWN SOUTH | 39.39% | 13.61% | 4.41% | 1.22% | Long Shot |
| 16 YORKTOWN | 22.51% | 9.88% | 3.64% | 1.00% | Long Shot |
| 13 BEACON | 27.44% | 11.68% | 3.69% | 0.99% | Long Shot |
| 14 NYACK | 20.64% | 7.95% | 2.10% | 0.62% | Long Shot |
| 11 JOHN JAY-CR | 31.60% | 8.15% | 2.08% | 0.60% | Long Shot |
Class B Breakdown before round of 16 starts
| Class B Boys | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| 1 HASTINGS | 87.48% | 62.56% | 47.93% | 29.60% | Favorite |
| 2 VALHALLA | 92.35% | 63.71% | 41.82% | 25.08% | Favorite |
| 3 DOBBS FERRY | 80.46% | 52.70% | 25.92% | 13.62% | Contender |
| 10 BRIARCLIFF | 64.23% | 25.23% | 13.03% | 6.00% | Dark Horse |
| 9 CROTON-HARMON | 50.71% | 17.36% | 9.83% | 3.97% | Long Shot |
| 8 BRONXVILLE | 49.29% | 16.57% | 9.27% | 3.68% | Long Shot |
| 12 IRVINGTON | 51.87% | 27.58% | 9.23% | 3.33% | Long Shot |
| 11 ARDSLEY | 54.39% | 23.29% | 8.40% | 3.32% | Long Shot |
| 4 PALISADE PREP | 52.60% | 25.75% | 8.19% | 2.81% | Long Shot |
| 5 WESTLAKE | 48.13% | 24.69% | 7.87% | 2.70% | Long Shot |
| 13 PLEASANTVILLE | 47.40% | 21.98% | 6.51% | 2.08% | Long Shot |
| 6 NORTH SALEM | 45.61% | 17.69% | 5.70% | 2.03% | Long Shot |
| 7 BLIND BROOK | 35.77% | 9.68% | 3.65% | 1.20% | Long Shot |
| 14 RYE NECK | 19.54% | 6.32% | 1.26% | 0.29% | Long Shot |
| 17 WOODLANDS | 12.52% | 3.52% | 1.18% | 0.25% | Long Shot |
| 15 PAWLING | 7.65% | 1.38% | 0.23% | 0.03% | Long Shot |
Class C Breakdown before round of 16 starts
| Class C Boys | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| 1 HAMILTON | 100.00% | 100.00% | 96.62% | 66.43% | Favorite |
| 2 HALDANE | 100.00% | 100.00% | 62.72% | 23.42% | Contender |
| 3 TUCKAHOE | 100.00% | 100.00% | 37.28% | 9.83% | Dark Horse |
| 4 LEFFELL SCHOOL | 100.00% | 100.00% | 3.38% | 0.32% | Long Shot |