#1 Cambridge. Photo by Banner Sports
(Bracket)
Here’s a look at each team’s chances of winning each round of the tournament based on the most recent Section2Basketball.com computer rankings. New projections will be added as each bracket is knocked down to 8, 4 and 2 teams. The numbers will change based on each game played so as the bracket changes, so will each team’s chances of advancing.
Each team is automatically classified into 4 categories based on their pre-tournament odds of winning their respective bracket. Here’s the key:
>= 25% chance to win= Favorite
>= 10% & < 25% chance to win= Contender
>= 5% & < 10% chance to win= Dark Horse
< 5% chance to win= Long Shot
(Semi-Final numbers)
| Class C Girls | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Cambridge | 73.28% | 45.23% | Favorite |
| Mekeel Christian Academy | 52.56% | 24.16% | Contender |
| Greenville | 47.44% | 20.64% | Contender |
| Hoosick Falls | 26.72% | 9.97% | Dark Horse |
(Quarter-Final numbers)
| Class C Girls | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Cambridge | 77.72% | 60.48% | 40.33% | Favorite |
| Greenville | 59.05% | 33.11% | 16.14% | Contender |
| Mekeel Christian Academy | 63.75% | 33.54% | 16.00% | Contender |
| Lake George | 40.95% | 19.29% | 7.78% | Dark Horse |
| Hoosick Falls | 59.56% | 18.69% | 7.60% | Dark Horse |
| Hoosic Valley | 36.25% | 14.07% | 4.93% | Long Shot |
| Maple Hill | 22.28% | 11.21% | 4.18% | Long Shot |
| Stillwater | 40.44% | 9.62% | 3.05% | Long Shot |
(Pre-tournament numbers)
| Class C Girls | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Prelim | Open Rd | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Cambridge | 100.00% | 88.34% | 65.98% | 51.95% | 35.20% | Favorite |
| Greenville | 100.00% | 76.60% | 48.77% | 29.37% | 15.35% | Contender |
| Mekeel Christian Academy | 100.00% | 78.10% | 50.97% | 28.17% | 14.22% | Contender |
| Lake George | 100.00% | 70.50% | 33.34% | 17.32% | 7.66% | Dark Horse |
| Hoosick Falls | 100.00% | 77.56% | 44.45% | 14.94% | 6.24% | Dark Horse |
| Greenwich | 100.00% | 56.70% | 18.55% | 10.84% | 4.90% | Long Shot |
| Berne-Knox | 100.00% | 61.65% | 32.58% | 10.12% | 3.93% | Long Shot |
| Hoosic Valley | 100.00% | 52.54% | 22.23% | 9.18% | 3.42% | Long Shot |
| Middleburgh | 100.00% | 47.46% | 18.97% | 7.38% | 2.59% | Long Shot |
| Maple Hill | 100.00% | 43.30% | 11.82% | 6.13% | 2.38% | Long Shot |
| Warrensburg | 79.48% | 21.81% | 8.90% | 3.32% | 1.03% | Long Shot |
| Rensselaer | 68.76% | 23.67% | 7.71% | 2.83% | 0.86% | Long Shot |
| Stillwater | 58.02% | 24.12% | 10.79% | 2.63% | 0.82% | Long Shot |
| Mayfield | 60.22% | 14.97% | 5.80% | 1.74% | 0.47% | Long Shot |
| Cairo-Durham | 63.78% | 8.91% | 3.03% | 1.20% | 0.33% | Long Shot |
| Chatham | 41.98% | 14.23% | 5.30% | 1.00% | 0.25% | Long Shot |
| Duanesburg | 70.51% | 18.82% | 6.27% | 0.99% | 0.21% | Long Shot |
| Bishop Gibbons | 39.78% | 6.93% | 2.03% | 0.44% | 0.09% | Long Shot |
| Canajoharie | 31.24% | 5.83% | 1.05% | 0.22% | 0.04% | Long Shot |
| Schoharie | 36.22% | 2.74% | 0.61% | 0.17% | 0.03% | Long Shot |
| Granville | 29.49% | 3.62% | 0.61% | 0.04% | 0.00% | Long Shot |
| Saratoga Central Catholic | 20.52% | 1.59% | 0.24% | 0.03% | 0.00% | Long Shot |
A few questions based on the numbers:
Is there a clear cut favorite(s)?
Yes. Cambridge. Only loss on the season coming in the Wasaren Playoff vs Class B Tamarac.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could reach the final or win the classification?
#6 Greenville is a strong contender. They would have a potentially tough match-up with # 3 Lake George if both teams advance. However, their defensive pressure is something that teams will have to be ready for.
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