(Bracket)
Here’s a look at each team’s chances of winning each round of the tournament based on the most recent Section2Basketball.com computer rankings. New projections will be added as each bracket is knocked down to 8, 4 and 2 teams. The numbers will change based on each game played so as the bracket changes, so will each team’s chances of advancing.
Each team is automatically classified into 4 categories based on their pre-tournament odds of winning their respective bracket. Here’s the key:
>= 25% chance to win= Favorite
>= 10% & < 25% chance to win= Contender
>= 5% & < 10% chance to win= Dark Horse
< 5% chance to win= Long Shot
(Semi-Final numbers)
Class B Girls | Winning | Winning | Computer |
Semi | Champ | Projection | |
Tamarac | 70.57% | 42.67% | Favorite |
Mechanicville | 55.83% | 26.96% | Favorite |
Voorheesville | 44.17% | 18.84% | Contender |
Schalmont | 29.43% | 11.53% | Contender |
(Quarter-Final numbers)
Class B Girls | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
Tamarac | 72.54% | 53.90% | 36.49% | Favorite |
Mechanicville | 65.34% | 35.47% | 16.86% | Contender |
Voorheesville | 53.81% | 28.43% | 12.84% | Contender |
Cobleskill | 46.19% | 22.68% | 9.43% | Dark Horse |
Schalmont | 53.33% | 17.66% | 7.78% | Dark Horse |
Glens Falls | 27.46% | 14.32% | 6.39% | Dark Horse |
Watervliet | 46.67% | 14.12% | 5.76% | Dark Horse |
Hudson | 34.66% | 13.42% | 4.44% | Long Shot |
(Pre-tournament numbers)
Class B Girls | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
Open Rd | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
Tamarac | 89.45% | 69.44% | 54.06% | 38.35% | Favorite |
Mechanicville | 74.55% | 50.14% | 28.16% | 13.36% | Contender |
Cobleskill | 79.61% | 43.34% | 24.38% | 10.92% | Contender |
Voorheesville | 63.56% | 35.92% | 20.38% | 9.22% | Dark Horse |
Schalmont | 68.91% | 41.50% | 14.97% | 7.15% | Dark Horse |
Watervliet | 69.37% | 35.74% | 11.52% | 4.98% | Long Shot |
Hudson | 63.99% | 28.06% | 12.21% | 4.37% | Long Shot |
Glens Falls | 57.37% | 17.00% | 9.16% | 4.15% | Long Shot |
Johnstown | 36.44% | 15.83% | 6.88% | 2.27% | Long Shot |
Ichabod Crane | 42.63% | 10.25% | 4.78% | 1.83% | Long Shot |
Fonda | 25.45% | 10.66% | 3.32% | 0.83% | Long Shot |
Cohoes | 36.01% | 11.14% | 3.38% | 0.82% | Long Shot |
Catskill | 31.09% | 12.82% | 2.67% | 0.79% | Long Shot |
Broadalbin-Perth | 30.63% | 9.94% | 1.76% | 0.45% | Long Shot |
Emma Willard | 10.55% | 3.31% | 1.07% | 0.27% | Long Shot |
Schuylerville | 20.39% | 4.91% | 1.28% | 0.24% | Long Shot |
A few questions based on the numbers:
Is there a clear cut favorite(s)?
Yes. Tamarac.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could reach the final or win the classification?
Yes. Schalmont at #4 and #6 seed Voorheesville.
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