Cambridge girls capturing the N.Y. State Championship last March.
Check out the latest bracket projections using the updated Section2Basketball.com computer rankings. Every tournament takes into account each team’s current ranking and their current path to the title. Teams are broken down into 4 different categories based on their overall chance to win it all according to the rankings. They are as followed:
Each team is automatically classified into 4 categories based on their pre-tournament odds of winning their respective bracket. Here’s the key:
>= 25% chance to win= Favorite
>= 10% & < 25% chance to win= Contender
>= 5% & < 10% chance to win= Dark Horse
< 5% chance to win= Long Shot
Class AA Breakdown before the tournament starts.
| Class AA Girls | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Shenendehowa | 100.00% | 91.10% | 65.99% | 41.40% | Favorite |
| Saratoga | 100.00% | 92.71% | 68.72% | 36.08% | Favorite |
| Niskayuna | 100.00% | 67.73% | 24.65% | 11.20% | Contender |
| Colonie | 100.00% | 51.26% | 15.49% | 4.58% | Long Shot |
| Shaker | 100.00% | 48.74% | 14.24% | 4.07% | Long Shot |
| Albany | 100.00% | 32.27% | 7.08% | 2.06% | Long Shot |
| Bethlehem | 73.44% | 8.05% | 2.19% | 0.44% | Long Shot |
| Guilderland | 56.58% | 4.68% | 1.07% | 0.11% | Long Shot |
| Columbia | 43.42% | 2.62% | 0.48% | 0.04% | Long Shot |
| Catholic Cent. | 26.56% | 0.84% | 0.09% | 0.01% | Long Shot |
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
Shenendehowa and Saratoga (with a healthy Dolly Cairns) are the teams to beat. Niskayuna is the third best team in the classification.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
The #4 Colonie vs #5 Shaker game should be most competitive of the quarter final games.
Additional thoughts:
Shaker, Colonie and Albany have star players with sectional experience and loom as three teams that could pull off an upset of the top three teams.
Players to watch: Ahniysha Jackson, Albany, Maren Louridas, Bethlehem, Julia Harvey, Bethlehem, Caroline Wise, Bethlehem, Sarah Mattfeld, Catholic Central, Angelena Giuliano, Catholic Central, Brenna Graber, Catholic Central, Sareena DiCerbo, Colonie, Makayla Blake, Colonie, Macie Trimarchi, Colonie, Ahnalese Pearson, Colonie, Lauren Filien, Columbia, Leah Phillips, Columbia, Valencia Fontenelle-Posson, Guilderland, Bella Gitto, Guilderland, Graycen Dubin, Guilderland, Olivia Olsen, Niskayuna, Emma Souky, Niskayuna, Natalie Prian, Niskayuna, Heather Schmidt, Niskayuna, Catherine Cairns, Saratoga Springs, Natasha Chudy, Saratoga Springs, Lauren Patnode, Saratoga Springs, Abbie Ray, Saratoga Springs, Maddisyn Mahoney, Shaker, Jules DeBeatham, Shaker, Meghan Huerter, Shenendehowa, Rylee Carpenter, Shenendehowa, Kaitlyn Watrobski, Shenendehowa, Bella Staurt, Shenendehowa, Simone Walker, Shenendehowa, Jillian Huerter, Shenendehowa
Class A Breakdown before the tournament starts.
| Class A Girls | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Averill Park | 100.00% | 90.14% | 62.69% | 39.35% | Favorite |
| Queensbury | 100.00% | 92.42% | 68.81% | 36.10% | Favorite |
| Amsterdam | 100.00% | 60.04% | 22.45% | 10.38% | Contender |
| Holy Names | 100.00% | 57.99% | 18.63% | 5.81% | Dark Horse |
| Troy | 89.95% | 39.21% | 12.49% | 5.02% | Dark Horse |
| Burnt Hills | 100.00% | 42.01% | 10.81% | 2.67% | Long Shot |
| South Glens Falls | 66.92% | 8.08% | 2.08% | 0.45% | Long Shot |
| Hudson Falls | 62.79% | 5.76% | 1.46% | 0.16% | Long Shot |
| Mohonasen | 33.08% | 1.78% | 0.25% | 0.03% | Long Shot |
| Scotia | 37.21% | 1.82% | 0.29% | 0.02% | Long Shot |
| Emma Willard | 10.05% | 0.75% | 0.04% | 0.01% | Long Shot |
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
Perennial champion Averill Park and Foothills champ Queensbury have separated themselves as the top tier in Class A. Amsterdam has the third best chance to take home the title.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
Even though #6 Troy has to play in the opening round they avoid the top two seeds until the semi-finals. They have enough talent to win two or more games in this bracket.
Additional thoughts:
Amsterdam, Troy and Holy Names are a group of teams that are deep enough to prove dangerous for the top two teams.
Players to watch: Andie Gannon, Amsterdam, Antonia May, Amsterdam, Jackie Stanavich, Amsterdam, Sydney Hoefs, Amsterdam, Kelsey Wood, Averill Park, Amelia Wood, Averill Park, Anna Jankovic, Averill Park, Carlie Rzeszotarski, Burnt Hills, Callie Chevalier, Burnt Hills, Emma Shields, Emma Willard, Molly Zahnleuter, Emma Willard, Grace Field, Holy Names, Brinley Inglee, Hudson Falls, Mikayla Varney, Hudson Falls, Breanna Lott, Mohonasen, Hailey Ballard, Queensbury, Hope Sullivan, Queensbury, Kaileigh Hunt, Queensbury, Abby Doin, Queensbury, Jazmyne Corker, Scotia, Sydney Hart, South Glens Falls, Hannah Breen, South Glens Falls, Jenalyse Alarcon, Troy, Alaina Holmes, Troy,
Class B Breakdown before the tournament starts.
| Class B Girls | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Mekeel C.A. | 86.60% | 72.21% | 54.86% | 37.08% | Favorite |
| Mechanicville | 84.19% | 59.79% | 34.78% | 17.86% | Contender |
| Schalmont | 82.69% | 49.17% | 27.84% | 13.66% | Contender |
| Fonda | 80.24% | 47.96% | 18.69% | 8.64% | Dark Horse |
| Cobleskill | 51.75% | 24.55% | 11.88% | 4.88% | Long Shot |
| Greenwich | 48.25% | 22.10% | 10.32% | 4.08% | Long Shot |
| Johnstown | 56.86% | 28.10% | 9.31% | 3.69% | Long Shot |
| Hudson | 60.10% | 23.13% | 9.36% | 3.27% | Long Shot |
| Ravena | 68.39% | 17.38% | 7.86% | 2.81% | Long Shot |
| Tamarac | 43.14% | 18.52% | 5.13% | 1.71% | Long Shot |
| ICC/Corinth | 39.90% | 11.88% | 3.70% | 0.99% | Long Shot |
| Hoosick Falls/Schuylerville | 13.40% | 6.10% | 2.15% | 0.57% | Long Shot |
| Cairo-Durham/Bishop Maginn | 31.61% | 4.32% | 1.20% | 0.24% | Long Shot |
| Broadalbin-Perth/Cohoes | 15.81% | 5.21% | 1.14% | 0.21% | Long Shot |
| Catskill/Watervliet | 17.31% | 4.18% | 0.98% | 0.18% | Long Shot |
| Albany Academy/Glens Falls | 19.76% | 5.42% | 0.81% | 0.14% | Long Shot |
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
Mekeel Christian, the surprising #3 seed, is the team with the best chance of winning the tournament. They have been playing their best basketball as the regular season has come to a close.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
#4 Mechanicville, the defending champions, can make a serious run if they play up to their potential. They are in the tougher half of the draw with teams such as Schalmont, Hudson, Cobleskill and Greenwich all are dangerous.
Additional thoughts:
This is a really deep class. Cobleskill and Greenwich check in at #5 and #6 in the latest power rankings but they are slated to play each other in the 8/9 match-up.
Players to watch: Aaliyah Juste, Albany Academy, Meleena Ottati, Albany Academy, Imperess McDowell, Bishop Maginn, Makenzie Smith, Broadalbin-Perth, Arianna Myers, Cairo-Durham, Janay Brantley, Catskill, Sabrina Pressley, Cobleskill, Jessica Meade, Cobleskill, Olivia Huneau, Cohoes, Alexa Abbatantuono, Corinth, Abigail Lombardoni, Fonda, Kayla Smith, Fonda, Carly Atty, Fonda, Lyndsay Lombardoni, Fonda, Lexi Cutten, Glens Falls, Ashley Bordeaux, Glens Falls, Molly Brophy, Greenwich, Adrianna Rojas, Greenwich, Nora Niesz, Greenwich, Logan Thayne, Hoosick Falls, Daja Beaufort, Hudson, Shayna Coopersmith, Hudson, Madison Graham, Ichabod Crane, Ashley Ames, Ichabod Crane, Anna Lee, Johnstown, Jaden Willson, Johnstown, Charli Goverski, Mechanicville, Chloe Goverski, Mechanicville, Avery Mills, Mekeel Christian Academy, Mikyla Mitchell, Mekeel Christian Academy, Jillian Ballard, Mekeel Christian Academy, Lauren Sanderson, Ravena, Hannah VanDerzee, Ravena, Payton Graber, Schalmont, Karissa Antoine, Schalmont, Haley Burchhardt, Schalmont, Macey Koval, Schuylerville, Syrita Faraj, Tamarac, Jordyn Sorel, Tamarac, Leemya Garcia, Watervliet, Amia Maldonado, Watervliet,
Class C Breakdown before the tournament starts.
| Class C Girls | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Cambridge | 100.00% | 97.64% | 85.00% | 63.88% | Favorite |
| Maple Hill | 89.99% | 78.40% | 55.76% | 21.60% | Contender |
| Duanesburg | 82.12% | 53.84% | 23.73% | 6.17% | Dark Horse |
| Berne-Knox | 89.15% | 49.04% | 7.37% | 2.63% | Long Shot |
| Warrensburg | 85.00% | 46.32% | 7.03% | 2.53% | Long Shot |
| Hoosic Valley | 76.29% | 35.23% | 12.46% | 2.39% | Long Shot |
| Mayfield | 58.46% | 11.19% | 3.63% | 0.40% | Long Shot |
| Stillwater | 41.54% | 5.97% | 1.52% | 0.12% | Long Shot |
| Voorheesville | 10.01% | 4.44% | 1.11% | 0.08% | Long Shot |
| Rensselaer | 17.88% | 5.65% | 0.96% | 0.07% | Long Shot |
| Chatham | 23.71% | 5.27% | 0.84% | 0.06% | Long Shot |
| Schoharie | 54.29% | 1.43% | 0.31% | 0.04% | Long Shot |
| Salem | 45.71% | 0.93% | 0.18% | 0.02% | Long Shot |
| Canajoharie | 15.00% | 2.97% | 0.08% | 0.01% | Long Shot |
| Lake George | 10.85% | 1.67% | 0.03% | 0.01% | Long Shot |
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
Cambridge. They are the defending N.Y. State champion and the clear cut favorite to advance out of the section. Maple Hill is the 2nd best team, according to the numbers, but would still be considerable underdogs to the Indians if they were to meet. Maple Hill has just finished their second consecutive undefeated regular season in the Patroon Conference.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
Duanesburg the #3 seed is a young team but are dangerous if they play well.
Additional thoughts:
I don’t think the classification is as deep as it has been in recent years. Duanesburg is clearly the third best team behind Cambridge and Maple Hill. After that there is Berne-Knox, Warrensburg, Hoosic Valley and Mayfield that make up the next tier of teams with the best chance to advance in the tournament.
Players to watch: Alexis Wright, Berne-Knox, Taylor Meacham, Berne-Knox, Sophie Phillips, Cambridge, Lilly Phillips, Cambridge, Fiona Mooney, Cambridge, Stasia Epler, Cambridge, Monica Hartlieb, Canajoharie, Kylee Rickard, Canajoharie, Hannah Taylor, Chatham, Hailey Cascioli, Chatham, Naveah Daigle, Chatham, Madison Meyer, Duanesburg, Allison O’Hanlon, Duanesburg, Hannah Mulhern, Duanesburg, Sami Dickinson, Hoosic Valley, Sam Lanoue, Hoosic Valley, Ava Pushor, Lake George, Mikayla Duffy, Lake George, Natasha Strock, Maple Hill, Sophia Chevrier, Maple Hill, Karysn Berger, Maple Hill, Kelsey Meca, Mayfield, Lindsey Hampton, Mayfield, Cloey Dopp, Mayfield, Mechalle Cancer, Rensselaer, Mikayah Rushinski, Salem, Mackenzie Spencer, Salem, Hannah Cater, Schoharie, Marley Mueller, Stillwater, Molly Sheehan, Stillwater, Lily Zanello, Voorheesville, Abigail Ranous, Warrensburg, Hope Boland, Warrensburg, Aubrey Ranous, Warrensburg,
Class D Breakdown before the tournament starts.
| Class D Girls | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Fort Edward | 100.00% | 73.43% | 45.26% | 26.76% | Favorite |
| NDBG | 100.00% | 70.98% | 40.30% | 21.43% | Contender |
| Argyle | 100.00% | 63.46% | 33.62% | 16.96% | Contender |
| Germantown | 100.00% | 55.19% | 25.99% | 12.95% | Contender |
| Hartford | 100.00% | 44.81% | 18.89% | 8.45% | Dark Horse |
| Whitehall | 72.43% | 30.62% | 13.92% | 5.97% | Dark Horse |
| Northville | 66.03% | 22.18% | 8.94% | 3.30% | Long Shot |
| Saratoga Central Catholic | 50.58% | 13.56% | 5.07% | 1.79% | Long Shot |
| Heatly | 49.42% | 13.01% | 4.79% | 1.67% | Long Shot |
| North Warren | 33.97% | 6.84% | 1.76% | 0.40% | Long Shot |
| Loudonville Christian | 27.57% | 5.92% | 1.45% | 0.32% | Long Shot |
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
Not really. Slight edge to Fort Edward
Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
The winner of the #4 Germantown vs #5 Hartford game will give their next opponent a battle.
Additional thoughts:
Six teams fall within 10 points of the top team Fort Edward. (Last year’s champ Bishop Gibbons, Argyle, Germantown, Hartford and Whitehall). This should be one of the most competitive tournaments in the girls classifications.
Players to watch: Shelby Caprood, Argyle, Saige Randolph, Bishop Gibbons, Ayanna Jackson, Bishop Gibbons, Gabby Thomas, Fort Edward, Hailey Condon, Fort Edward, Riley Gibbons, Germantown, Karlee Nims, Hartford, Gabrielle McFarren, Hartford, Abigail Monroe, Hartford, Jordan Ries, Heatly, Skyler Househoulder, Loudonville Christian, Victoria Ralston, Loudonville Christian, Nicole Buckman, North Warren, Kaitlin Kramar, North Warren, Kerrigan Groff, Northville, Ashley Upson, Saratoga Central Catholic, Zoe Eggleston, Whitehall, Kyrie Smith, Whitehall,