#1 Mekeel Christian looking for a title.
(Bracket)
Here’s a look at each team’s chances of winning each round of the tournament based on the most recent Section2Basketball.com computer rankings. New projections will be added as each bracket is knocked down to 8, 4 and 2 teams. The numbers will change based on each game played so as the bracket changes, so will each team’s chances of advancing.
Each team is automatically classified into 4 categories based on their pre-tournament odds of winning their respective bracket. Here’s the key:
>= 25% chance to win= Favorite
>= 10% & < 25% chance to win= Contender
>= 5% & < 10% chance to win= Dark Horse
< 5% chance to win= Long Shot
(Semi-Final numbers)
| Class B Boys | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Mekeel Christian Academy | 67.59% | 43.17% | Favorite |
| Glens Falls | 54.35% | 23.82% | Contender |
| Schalmont | 45.65% | 18.11% | Contender |
| Watervliet | 32.41% | 14.90% | Contender |
(Quarter-Final numbers)
| Class B Boys | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Mekeel Christian Academy | 84.17% | 56.87% | 35.32% | Favorite |
| Glens Falls | 74.63% | 44.33% | 22.70% | Contender |
| Schalmont | 76.82% | 40.73% | 19.53% | Contender |
| Watervliet | 63.94% | 27.44% | 13.54% | Contender |
| Catskill | 36.06% | 10.98% | 3.94% | Long Shot |
| Schuylerville | 25.37% | 8.79% | 2.40% | Long Shot |
| Hudson | 23.18% | 6.16% | 1.39% | Long Shot |
| Bishop Gibbons | 15.83% | 4.71% | 1.19% | Long Shot |
(Pre-tournament numbers)
| Class B Boys | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Mekeel Christian Academy | 97.34% | 83.09% | 57.90% | 37.64% | Favorite |
| Glens Falls | 98.86% | 78.77% | 52.57% | 26.67% | Favorite |
| Schalmont | 81.49% | 63.77% | 31.23% | 13.56% | Contender |
| Watervliet | 95.00% | 62.94% | 26.13% | 13.15% | Contender |
| Catskill | 86.92% | 35.07% | 10.80% | 4.16% | Long Shot |
| Schuylerville | 59.16% | 14.05% | 5.59% | 1.38% | Long Shot |
| Hudson | 73.75% | 23.75% | 6.25% | 1.36% | Long Shot |
| Cobleskill | 54.64% | 9.63% | 3.10% | 0.88% | Long Shot |
| Bishop Gibbons | 45.36% | 6.78% | 1.92% | 0.48% | Long Shot |
| Voorheesville | 40.84% | 7.10% | 2.26% | 0.41% | Long Shot |
| Broadalbin-Perth | 18.51% | 8.64% | 1.67% | 0.26% | Long Shot |
| Mechanicville | 26.25% | 3.84% | 0.42% | 0.04% | Long Shot |
| Fonda | 13.08% | 1.32% | 0.09% | 0.01% | Long Shot |
| Johnstown | 2.66% | 0.51% | 0.04% | 0.00% | Long Shot |
| Taconic Hills | 5.00% | 0.67% | 0.03% | 0.00% | Long Shot |
| Tamarac | 1.14% | 0.09% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Long Shot |
A few questions based on the numbers:
Is there a clear cut favorite(s)?
Yes. Mekeel Christian and Glens Falls.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could reach the final or win the classification?
Yes. Watervliet at #4 is certainly capable. Not a #4 or lower but, #3 seed Schalmont is a top contender as well. #5 Catskill is talented but having Vliet and Mekeel on their side of the bracket is going to be tough.
