#1 Averill Park is looking for another Section 2 title.
(Bracket)
Here’s a look at each team’s chances of winning each round of the tournament based on the most recent Section2Basketball.com computer rankings. New projections will be added as each bracket is knocked down to 8, 4 and 2 teams. The numbers will change based on each game played so as the bracket changes, so will each team’s chances of advancing.
Each team is automatically classified into 4 categories based on their pre-tournament odds of winning their respective bracket. Here’s the key:
>= 25% chance to win= Favorite
>= 10% & < 25% chance to win= Contender
>= 5% & < 10% chance to win= Dark Horse
< 5% chance to win= Long Shot
(Semi-Final numbers)
| Class A Girls | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Averill Park | 80.42% | 64.40% | Favorite |
| Amsterdam | 58.88% | 16.85% | Contender |
| Gloversville | 19.58% | 9.73% | Dark Horse |
| Holy Names | 41.12% | 9.02% | Dark Horse |
(Quarter-Final numbers)
| Class A Girls | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Averill Park | 95.92% | 80.67% | 66.49% | Favorite |
| Amsterdam | 75.17% | 45.30% | 13.27% | Contender |
| Gloversville | 58.74% | 12.08% | 6.20% | Dark Horse |
| Queensbury | 51.82% | 24.44% | 5.47% | Dark Horse |
| Holy Names | 48.18% | 21.88% | 4.63% | Long Shot |
| Scotia | 41.26% | 6.31% | 2.70% | Long Shot |
| South Glens Falls | 24.83% | 8.38% | 1.04% | Long Shot |
| Hudson Falls | 4.08% | 0.95% | 0.21% | Long Shot |
(Pre-Tournament numbers)
| Class A Girls | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Open Rd | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Averill Park | 100.00% | 97.04% | 81.17% | 66.70% | Favorite |
| Amsterdam | 100.00% | 80.86% | 49.70% | 14.40% | Contender |
| Holy Names | 100.00% | 54.40% | 24.39% | 5.08% | Dark Horse |
| Gloversville | 97.25% | 52.18% | 10.07% | 5.04% | Dark Horse |
| Queensbury | 84.48% | 43.09% | 19.73% | 4.24% | Long Shot |
| Scotia | 99.60% | 47.72% | 8.18% | 3.82% | Long Shot |
| South Glens Falls | 69.69% | 15.98% | 5.26% | 0.58% | Long Shot |
| Hudson Falls | 64.01% | 2.38% | 0.50% | 0.10% | Long Shot |
| Mohonasen | 30.31% | 3.17% | 0.54% | 0.03% | Long Shot |
| Burnt Hills | 15.52% | 2.51% | 0.36% | 0.02% | Long Shot |
| Lansingburgh | 35.99% | 0.58% | 0.07% | 0.01% | Long Shot |
| Albany Leadership | 2.75% | 0.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Long Shot |
| Bishop Maginn | 0.40% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Long Shot |
A few questions based on the numbers:
Is there a clear cut favorite(s)?
Yes. Averill Park. If they play up to their potential it will take a huge effort by a team in this classification to knock them off.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could reach the final or win the classification?
Yes. #5 seed Gloversville is playing some of their best basketball now and could definitely make some noise.
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