Check out the latest bracket projections using the updated Section2Basketball.com computer rankings. Every tournament takes into account each team’s current ranking and their current path to the title. Teams are broken down into 4 different categories based on their overall chance to win it all according to the rankings. They are as followed:
Each team is automatically classified into 4 categories based on their pre-tournament odds of winning their respective bracket. Here’s the key:
>= 25% chance to win= Favorite
>= 10% & < 25% chance to win= Contender
>= 5% & < 10% chance to win= Dark Horse
< 5% chance to win= Long Shot
Class AA Breakdown before the tournament starts.
bracket image from Section2boysbasketball.org
| Class AA Boys | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Shenendehowa | 100.00% | 73.88% | 57.14% | 34.37% | Favorite |
| Green Tech | 100.00% | 77.29% | 56.19% | 34.29% | Favorite |
| Saratoga | 100.00% | 57.15% | 20.72% | 8.55% | Dark Horse |
| Bethlehem | 66.46% | 39.41% | 13.15% | 4.91% | Long Shot |
| Niskayuna | 68.05% | 35.34% | 10.68% | 3.64% | Long Shot |
| Colonie | 57.37% | 26.36% | 8.62% | 3.24% | Long Shot |
| La Salle | 52.11% | 14.04% | 7.84% | 2.91% | Long Shot |
| CBA | 47.89% | 12.08% | 6.49% | 2.29% | Long Shot |
| Schenectady | 50.92% | 11.73% | 5.26% | 1.79% | Long Shot |
| Columbia | 49.08% | 10.97% | 4.82% | 1.60% | Long Shot |
| Guilderland | 42.63% | 16.49% | 4.39% | 1.37% | Long Shot |
| Albany | 33.54% | 14.37% | 2.89% | 0.68% | Long Shot |
| Ballston Spa | 31.95% | 10.88% | 1.81% | 0.36% | Long Shot |
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
Yes. Shenendehowa and Green Tech.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
Yes. If I told you which one I thought it would be I wouldn’t be honest. The next 9, yes 9 teams after the top two are separated by seven points according to the season long computer rankings. That’s just over two baskets for nine teams. Insanely close. Good luck figuring out which of the lower seeds strings together a couple nice wins to get to the semi-finals. Maybe none of them and the top four advance but I wouldn’t count on it.
Additional thoughts:
Each week the middle part of Class AA has leaped frogged one another and then switched spots the next week. Shen and Green Tech can be beat even though they have proved to be the two highest seeds based on their regular season play. The bracket is deep.
Players to watch: Kevin Seel II, Albany, Isaiah Austin, Albany, Keegan Zoller, Ballston Spa, Marko Gibbons, Bethlehem, Will Davis, Bethlehem, Hagen Foley, CBA, Marcus Shelton, Colonie, Brendan Coyle, Colonie, Frank Rainville, Columbia, Joey Alamprese, Columbia, Justin Owens, Green Tech, Kemore Johnson, Green Tech, Mazziah Thorpe, Green Tech, Joshua Rodriguez, Green Tech, Ryan Teaney, Guilderland, Billy Lia, Guilderland, Bo Catherwood, La Salle, Gabe Lucarelli, La Salle, Kaylon Dickson, La Salle, Sean St. Lucia, Niskayuna, Ethan St. Lucia, Niskayuna, Aidan Holmes, Saratoga Springs, Michael Rogan, Saratoga Springs, Josh Winfield, Schenectady, Kareem Sanders, Schenectady,
Jake Reinisch, Shenendehowa, Andrew Martin, Shenendehowa, Devin Dzikas, Shenendehowa, Lucas Seyoum, Shenendehowa
Class A Breakdown before the tournament starts.
bracket image from Section2boysbasketball.org
| Class A Boys | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Mekeel C.A. | 100.00% | 91.14% | 76.23% | 61.07% | Favorite |
| Lansingburgh | 100.00% | 73.98% | 40.74% | 12.68% | Contender |
| Averill Park | 100.00% | 61.02% | 32.72% | 9.65% | Dark Horse |
| Gloversville | 88.13% | 62.02% | 15.43% | 7.92% | Dark Horse |
| Troy | 81.31% | 36.14% | 17.44% | 4.41% | Long Shot |
| Queensbury | 81.00% | 31.96% | 4.73% | 1.69% | Long Shot |
| Hudson Falls | 72.66% | 22.34% | 7.96% | 1.38% | Long Shot |
| Mohonasen | 58.40% | 5.98% | 2.42% | 0.83% | Long Shot |
| Amsterdam | 41.60% | 2.89% | 0.95% | 0.26% | Long Shot |
| Burnt Hills | 27.34% | 3.67% | 0.62% | 0.04% | Long Shot |
| Scotia | 18.69% | 2.84% | 0.52% | 0.04% | Long Shot |
| Catholic Cent. | 11.87% | 3.32% | 0.14% | 0.02% | Long Shot |
| South Glens Falls | 19.00% | 2.70% | 0.10% | 0.01% | Long Shot |
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
Yes. Mekeel Christian is playing great basketball and will be tough to beat.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
#4 seed Gloversville and #5 seed Queensbury. Queesnbury has defeated Gloversville in both contests this year giving the Dragons 2 of their three losses. A potential quarterfinal battle, and a third meeting is possible, if both teams win their opening round games.
Additional thoughts:
Averill Park from the Suburban Council and Lansingburgh of the Colonial Council both have quality wins on their resume. I wouldn’t be surprised if either one of them gave the upper half of the bracket fits in Glens Falls.
Players to watch: Yandeel Vazquez, Amsterdam, Matt Lettko, Averill Park, Aidan Giaquinto, Burnt Hills, Alex Jameson, Burnt Hills, Jackson Brown, Catholic Central, Dante Bouchard, Gloversville, Joseph Rowback, Gloversville, Johnathan Beagle, Hudson Falls, Jack Hogan, Hudson Falls, Riley Maddison, Hudson Falls, Isaiah Knight, Lansingburgh, Vinny Tario, Lansingburgh, Alex Barnhill, Mekeel Christian Academy, Ozzy DeJesus, Mekeel Christian Academy, Jonan White, Mekeel Christian Academy, Ricky Rollins, Mekeel Christian Academy, Shawn Gillisslee, Mohonasen, Alexander Gannon, Mohonasen, Bryce Bleibtrey, Queensbury, Matthew Conlon, Queensbury, Sean Collins, Queensbury, Antonio Cianfarani, Scotia, Jon Maniacek, South Glens Falls, Cam Woodard, South Glens Falls, Marquis Hamby, Troy,
Class B Breakdown before the tournament starts.
bracket image from Section2boysbasketball.org
| Class B Boys | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Schalmont | 88.98% | 62.51% | 42.87% | 27.87% | Favorite |
| Catskill | 83.39% | 59.10% | 41.24% | 23.41% | Contender |
| Glens Falls | 65.00% | 35.85% | 15.52% | 7.91% | Dark Horse |
| Mechanicville | 73.49% | 41.25% | 18.04% | 7.41% | Dark Horse |
| NDBG | 68.96% | 27.35% | 14.71% | 7.40% | Dark Horse |
| Watervliet | 60.24% | 32.64% | 13.80% | 6.88% | Dark Horse |
| Broadalbin-Perth | 64.51% | 35.66% | 15.26% | 6.13% | Dark Horse |
| Fonda | 50.53% | 17.95% | 8.87% | 3.21% | Long Shot |
| Hoosick Falls | 49.47% | 17.35% | 8.48% | 3.03% | Long Shot |
| Bishop Maginn | 39.76% | 17.51% | 5.76% | 2.31% | Long Shot |
| Ravena | 35.00% | 14.01% | 4.15% | 1.51% | Long Shot |
| Cohoes | 35.49% | 14.57% | 4.32% | 1.17% | Long Shot |
| Hudson | 31.04% | 7.33% | 2.54% | 0.81% | Long Shot |
| Greenwich/Schuylerville | 16.61% | 5.60% | 1.87% | 0.41% | Long Shot |
| Greenville | 26.51% | 8.52% | 1.92% | 0.39% | Long Shot |
| Tamarac/Coxsackie | 11.02% | 2.80% | 0.65% | 0.14% | Long Shot |
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
Schalmont and Catskill. The Sabres play in the tougher conference and have tested themselves in non league play so they should be ready. Catskill has looked great dominating the Patroon Conference this year. Catskill’s bracket draw according to the numbers looks a bit easier than Schalmont’s.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
Yes, a bunch. #4 Mechanicville,#5 Broadalbin-Perth, #6 Watervliet, #7 Bishop Gibbons, #8 Fonda and #9 Hoosick Falls.
Additional thoughts:
This class is full of good teams. Schalmont over the last three years has gone out in the quarter finals, final vs Mekeel Christian and last year in the final vs Glens Falls. The next logical step is for them to win it all. It won’t be easy as they will be tested from the quarter finals on this year.
Players to watch: Noah Foster, Bishop Gibbons, Rodney Parker, Bishop Gibbons, Todd Williamson, Bishop Gibbons, Nacier Hundley, Bishop Gibbons, Ja’Nyve Smith, Bishop Maginn, Massiah Galloway, Bishop Maginn, Dante Calderone, Broadalbin-Perth, Jackson Sassanella, Broadalbin-Perth, Jadon Wert, Broadalbin-Perth, Lavon Fernandez, Catskill, Devon Haye, Catskill, Leviticus Johnson, Catskill, Royal Brown, Cohoes, Josh Kiefer, Coxsackie-Athens, Killian Schrader, Coxsackie-Athens, Kane Schrader, Coxsackie-Athens, Jackson Atty, Fonda, Noah Girard, Glens Falls, Nick Danahy, Glens Falls, David Barclay, Glens Falls, Damien Fiducia, Greenville, Joe Nicosia, Greenville, Jesse Kuzmich, Greenwich, Alex Curtis, Greenwich, Jon Kempf, Hoosick Falls, Tristan Williams, Hoosick Falls, Max Kipp, Hoosick Falls, Dayquan Griffin, Hudson, Noah Hedgepeth, Hudson, Isaiah Maines, Hudson, Josh Germain, Mechanicville, C.J. Bianchino, Ravena, Shane O’Dell, Schalmont, Jake Sanford, Schalmont, Owen Sherman, Schuylerville, Cayden Rutland, Schuylerville, Zachary Rice, Tamarac, Joey Poulin, Tamarac, J.J. Chestnut, Watervliet,
Class C Breakdown before the tournament starts.
bracket image from Section2boysbasketball.org
| Class C Boys | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Voorheesville | 83.27% | 64.52% | 50.60% | 37.11% | Favorite |
| Stillwater | 56.74% | 30.95% | 16.77% | 7.45% | Dark Horse |
| Granville | 62.44% | 32.55% | 17.01% | 7.34% | Dark Horse |
| Waterford | 56.26% | 31.10% | 16.44% | 7.19% | Dark Horse |
| Lake George | 66.32% | 36.46% | 12.84% | 6.12% | Dark Horse |
| Spa Catholic | 51.99% | 25.65% | 12.98% | 5.34% | Dark Horse |
| Maple Hill | 60.06% | 32.76% | 11.26% | 5.26% | Dark Horse |
| Berne-Knox | 48.01% | 22.74% | 11.06% | 4.35% | Long Shot |
| Hadley-Luzerne | 53.54% | 15.96% | 8.49% | 3.95% | Long Shot |
| Schoharie | 43.74% | 21.47% | 10.01% | 3.81% | Long Shot |
| Fort Plain | 43.26% | 20.67% | 9.81% | 3.76% | Long Shot |
| Rensselaer | 46.46% | 12.55% | 6.24% | 2.68% | Long Shot |
| Cambridge/Salem/Duanesburg | 37.56% | 14.88% | 5.92% | 1.90% | Long Shot |
| Galway | 39.94% | 17.82% | 4.67% | 1.72% | Long Shot |
| Hoosic Valley/Mayfield | 16.73% | 6.98% | 3.03% | 1.11% | Long Shot |
| Canajoharie | 33.68% | 12.96% | 2.87% | 0.91% | Long Shot |
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
Yes, Voorheesville. The Blackbirds led by Zaveon Little and Tanner Tedesco look like the team to beat.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
Ok. This should be interesting. It looks like three teams from the Wasaren League (#10 Stillwater, #11 Waterford, and #15 Spa Catholic) according to the numbers have a real possibility of winning a couple games and advancing. The Lake George/Maple Hill possible match-up in the quarter finals is interesting as well from a couple dark horse teams.
Additional thoughts:
This class will be a real test of the computer rankings vs. the seeding numbers. The lower half of the bracket has some higher seeds that will have tougher than expected early round games.
Players to watch: Zeke Pulliam, Berne-Knox, Mark Edwards, Berne-Knox, Brian Hall, Cambridge, Ben Epler, Cambridge, Derek Hyney, Canajoharie, Marcus Johnson, Canajoharie, Zachary Gamache, Duanesburg, Jakob Stahl, Duanesburg, Troy Butler, Fort Plain, Robert Jordan, Fort Plain, Carson Scribner, Galway, Jarett Williams, Granville, Josh Oakman, Granville, Danny McMahon, Hadley-Luzerne,Donald Harder, Hadley-Luzerne,Jon Fraser, Hadley-Luzerne, CJ Bassett, Hoosic Valley, Logan Reilly, Hoosic Valley, Luke Pelchar, Lake George, Cameron Orr, Lake George, Rian Jewett, Maple Hill, Blake Decker, Maple Hill, Kyle Capparello, Mayfield, Aidan Halloran, Mayfield, Andrew Johns, Middleburgh, Cameron Kenney, Middleburgh, Jacob Wood, Middleburgh, Brendan Henry, Middleburgh, Ramell Johnson, Rensselaer, Samir Lockhart, Rensselaer, Patrick Sullivan, Rensselaer, Jordan Catone, Aden Terry, Salem, Eli Truehart, Salem, Saratoga Central Catholic, Hayden Day, Saratoga Central Catholic, Robert Bolen III, Saratoga Central Catholic, Anthony Barile, Saratoga Central Catholic, Shane Helmstadt, Schoharie, John Blackwood, Schoharie, Brian McNeil, Stillwater, Josh Luca, Stillwater, Zaveon Little, Voorheesville, Tanner Tedesco, Voorheesville, Michael Talavera, Waterford, T.J. Kelley, Waterford,
Class D Breakdown before the tournament starts.
bracket image from Section2boysbasketball.org
| Class D Boys | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| North Warren | 100.00% | 87.88% | 69.70% | 50.98% | Favorite |
| Argyle | 100.00% | 72.06% | 48.73% | 21.48% | Contender |
| Northville | 100.00% | 81.34% | 35.40% | 11.54% | Contender |
| Germantown | 100.00% | 50.98% | 13.39% | 5.83% | Dark Horse |
| Hartford | 100.00% | 49.02% | 12.51% | 5.33% | Dark Horse |
| Fort Ann | 100.00% | 27.94% | 12.87% | 3.17% | Long Shot |
| OESJ | 52.02% | 6.56% | 2.44% | 0.76% | Long Shot |
| Whitehall | 47.98% | 5.56% | 1.96% | 0.58% | Long Shot |
| Fort Edward | 62.01% | 13.42% | 2.40% | 0.29% | Long Shot |
| Loudonville Christian | 37.99% | 5.24% | 0.59% | 0.04% | Long Shot |
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
Yes. North Warren.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
No. The draw is against #4 Hartford and #5 Germantown. It would take a great effor to knock off North Warren if the meeting took place in the semi finals.
Additional thoughts:
North Warren is the prohibited favorite but both Argyle and Northville could make things interesting if either of them were to get to the finals.
Players to watch: Peyton Lufkin, Argyle, Dylan Frost, Fort Ann, William Denton, Fort Edward, Bryan Bathrick, Germantown, Robbie Eaton, Germantown, Gavon Darfler, Hartford, Brandon Harrington, Hartford, Patrick Manella, Loudonville Christian, Cameron Simon, Loudonville Christian, Anthony Girard, North Warren, Tanner Dunkley, North Warren, Jason Ellsworth, Northville, Daniel VanNostrand, Northville, Travis Lafountain, OESJ,