From the Stands

Section 2 Basketball Blog

2017-18 Class C Boys’ Sectional Bracket & Tournament Projections

#1 Lake George looking to repeat. Photo from Post Star.

(Bracket)

Here’s a look at each team’s chances of winning each round of the tournament based on the most recent Section2Basketball.com computer rankings. New projections will be added as each bracket is knocked down to 8, 4 and 2 teams. The numbers will change based on each game played so as the bracket changes, so will each team’s chances of advancing.

Each team is automatically classified into 4 categories based on their pre-tournament odds of winning their respective bracket. Here’s the key:

>= 25% chance to win= Favorite

>= 10% & < 25% chance to win= Contender

>= 5% & < 10% chance to win= Dark Horse

< 5% chance to win= Long Shot

(Semi-Final numbers)

Class C Boys Winning Winning Computer
Semi Champ Projection
Lake George 84.41% 59.35% Favorite
Hoosick Falls 70.86% 28.89% Favorite
Maple Hill 29.14% 6.66% Dark Horse
Saratoga Central Catholic 15.59% 5.10% Dark Horse

(Quarter-Final numbers)

Class C Boys Winning Winning Winning Computer
QT. Final Semi Champ Projection
Lake George 86.30% 73.19% 52.26% Favorite
Hoosick Falls 84.38% 61.90% 29.15% Favorite
Maple Hill 55.69% 19.34% 5.46% Dark Horse
Granville 50.10% 10.19% 3.49% Long Shot
Saratoga Central Catholic 49.90% 10.12% 3.45% Long Shot
Mayfield 44.31% 13.28% 3.20% Long Shot
Stillwater 13.70% 6.49% 2.07% Long Shot
Greenville 15.62% 5.48% 0.91% Long Shot

(Pre-tournament numbers)

Class C Boys Winning Winning Winning Winning Winning Computer
Prelim Open Rd QT. Final Semi Champ Projection
Lake George 100.00% 94.28% 83.90% 72.94% 54.37% Favorite
Hoosick Falls 100.00% 90.32% 73.96% 51.90% 23.51% Contender
Schoharie 100.00% 71.55% 46.76% 21.32% 7.15% Dark Horse
Maple Hill 100.00% 79.24% 35.95% 13.13% 3.40% Long Shot
Granville 100.00% 61.37% 33.16% 7.13% 2.61% Long Shot
Berne-Knox 100.00% 59.07% 14.80% 5.81% 1.18% Long Shot
Duanesburg 85.64% 47.02% 24.69% 5.20% 1.87% Long Shot
Saratoga Central Catholic 100.00% 50.48% 24.06% 4.36% 1.38% Long Shot
Stillwater 100.00% 56.88% 8.72% 4.27% 1.41% Long Shot
Mayfield 81.42% 26.76% 13.08% 3.97% 0.83% Long Shot
Middleburgh 79.08% 35.06% 16.97% 3.07% 0.97% Long Shot
Greenville 100.00% 40.93% 7.74% 2.40% 0.37% Long Shot
Greenwich 100.00% 43.12% 5.15% 2.17% 0.59% Long Shot
Galway 75.87% 5.36% 2.17% 0.80% 0.18% Long Shot
Hadley-Luzerne 62.91% 7.31% 2.86% 0.75% 0.10% Long Shot
Cambridge 59.14% 13.84% 2.86% 0.45% 0.05% Long Shot
Canajoharie 40.86% 6.92% 1.03% 0.12% 0.01% Long Shot
Corinth 37.09% 2.37% 0.65% 0.11% 0.01% Long Shot
Rensselaer 20.92% 3.57% 0.72% 0.04% 0.00% Long Shot
Waterford 18.58% 1.68% 0.32% 0.03% 0.00% Long Shot
Berlin 14.36% 2.49% 0.41% 0.02% 0.00% Long Shot
Hoosic Valley 24.13% 0.36% 0.06% 0.01% 0.00% Long Shot

A few questions based on the numbers:

Is there a clear cut favorite(s)?

Yes. Defending champ and currently undefeated Lake George looks to repeat as champ. Hoosick Falls is their biggest threat.

Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could reach the final or win the classification?

No. #3 Schoharie is a dark horse but they’ll have to figure out a way to defend the post, being undersized, and shoot it fantastic from deep. They are one of the better shooting teams in the Section (all classes) but it will still be a tough task. #6 Maple Hill is playing good team basketball and has the possibility of matching up with Schoharie in the quarter finals.

From the Stands © 2017 Frontier Theme