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Section 2 Basketball Blog

2017-18 Class B Girls’ Sectional Bracket & Tournament Projections

Tamarac paced by 1000 point scorer Emily Erickson is the top seed in Class B.

(Bracket)

Here’s a look at each team’s chances of winning each round of the tournament based on the most recent Section2Basketball.com computer rankings. New projections will be added as each bracket is knocked down to 8, 4 and 2 teams. The numbers will change based on each game played so as the bracket changes, so will each team’s chances of advancing.

Each team is automatically classified into 4 categories based on their pre-tournament odds of winning their respective bracket. Here’s the key:

>= 25% chance to win= Favorite

>= 10% & < 25% chance to win= Contender

>= 5% & < 10% chance to win= Dark Horse

< 5% chance to win= Long Shot

(Semi-Final numbers)

Class B Girls Winning Winning Computer
Semi Champ Projection
Tamarac 70.57% 42.67% Favorite
Mechanicville 55.83% 26.96% Favorite
Voorheesville 44.17% 18.84% Contender
Schalmont 29.43% 11.53% Contender

(Quarter-Final numbers)

Class B Girls Winning Winning Winning Computer
QT. Final Semi Champ Projection
Tamarac 72.54% 53.90% 36.49% Favorite
Mechanicville 65.34% 35.47% 16.86% Contender
Voorheesville 53.81% 28.43% 12.84% Contender
Cobleskill 46.19% 22.68% 9.43% Dark Horse
Schalmont 53.33% 17.66% 7.78% Dark Horse
Glens Falls 27.46% 14.32% 6.39% Dark Horse
Watervliet 46.67% 14.12% 5.76% Dark Horse
Hudson 34.66% 13.42% 4.44% Long Shot

(Pre-tournament numbers)

Class B Girls Winning Winning Winning Winning Computer
Open Rd QT. Final Semi Champ Projection
Tamarac 89.45% 69.44% 54.06% 38.35% Favorite
Mechanicville 74.55% 50.14% 28.16% 13.36% Contender
Cobleskill 79.61% 43.34% 24.38% 10.92% Contender
Voorheesville 63.56% 35.92% 20.38% 9.22% Dark Horse
Schalmont 68.91% 41.50% 14.97% 7.15% Dark Horse
Watervliet 69.37% 35.74% 11.52% 4.98% Long Shot
Hudson 63.99% 28.06% 12.21% 4.37% Long Shot
Glens Falls 57.37% 17.00% 9.16% 4.15% Long Shot
Johnstown 36.44% 15.83% 6.88% 2.27% Long Shot
Ichabod Crane 42.63% 10.25% 4.78% 1.83% Long Shot
Fonda 25.45% 10.66% 3.32% 0.83% Long Shot
Cohoes 36.01% 11.14% 3.38% 0.82% Long Shot
Catskill 31.09% 12.82% 2.67% 0.79% Long Shot
Broadalbin-Perth 30.63% 9.94% 1.76% 0.45% Long Shot
Emma Willard 10.55% 3.31% 1.07% 0.27% Long Shot
Schuylerville 20.39% 4.91% 1.28% 0.24% Long Shot

A few questions based on the numbers:

Is there a clear cut favorite(s)?

Yes. Tamarac.

Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could reach the final or win the classification?

Yes. Schalmont at #4 and #6 seed Voorheesville.

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