Here’s a look at each team’s chances of winning each round of the tournament based on the most recent Section2Basketball.com computer rankings. New projections will be added as each bracket is knocked down to 8, 4 and 2 teams. The numbers will change based on each game played so as the bracket changes, so will each team’s chances of advancing.
Each team is automatically classified into 4 categories based on their pre-tournament odds of winning their respective bracket. Here’s the key:
>= 25% chance to win= Favorite
>= 10% & < 25% chance to win= Contender
>= 5% & < 10% chance to win= Dark Horse
< 5% chance to win= Long Shot
|Class A Boys||Winning||Winning||Computer|
|Class A Boys||Winning||Winning||Winning||Winning||Computer|
|Open Rd||QT. Final||Semi||Champ||Projection|
|Averill Park||100.00%||31.76%||11.70%||4.66%||Long Shot|
|Burnt Hills||86.96%||20.30%||8.05%||2.21%||Long Shot|
|Bishop Maginn||13.04%||0.42%||0.03%||0.00%||Long Shot|
A few questions based on the numbers:
Is there a clear cut favorite(s)?
No. Amsterdam, Mohonasen and Lansingburgh look like top contenders.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could reach the final or win the classification?
Yes. Queensbury as the #4 seed and Gloversville as the #5.